DISCUSSION
Among hospitalized children, VTE is an adverse event which is highly morbid and potentially preventable. Previous work has investigated VTE in hospitalized children, as well as in children after trauma. However, few studies have examined VTE in pediatric patients undergoing surgery for other indications. Consequently, at present, children—including those at high risk for VTE—do not routinely receive prophylactic anticoagulation after non-trauma-related surgery.
To better identify which pediatric surgical patients are at risk of VTE and may benefit from pharmacological thromboprophylaxis, using a national surgical database of over 360 000 children, the present study sought to characterize the incidence of VTE, and its risk factors, in children undergoing surgery across multiple surgical disciplines.
In a sample of 361 384 patients from the NSQIP-P database (2012–2016), the present study finds an incidence of VTE of 0.10%. This rate is consistent with previous reports of VTE in children, which find incidences of VTE of between 0.0629%1 and 0.10%28 in orthopedic surgery, 0.038% in general surgery14 and 0.12%29 to 8.9%30 in trauma.6 18 31 32
Regarding risk factors for VTE, controlling for demographic and surgical variables, compared with patients aged 11–15 years, the present study identifies significantly increased risk of VTE among patients aged 16–18 years (OR=1.892, p<0.001), with children aged 6–10 years at lower risk (OR=0.625, p=0.024). This finding is consistent with previous studies, which suggests that adolescents are at higher risk for VTE.10 17 18 31 33 As an example, a study of hospitalized pediatric patients finds that compared with patients aged 1–4 years, those aged 15–17 years are at more than twice the risk of VTE.7 Similarly, the APAGBI guidelines identify patients older than 13 years as being at higher risk for VTE.24
When separated from children aged 2–5 years, children aged 1 year or younger were not found to be at significantly increased risk for VTE, a finding that differs somewhat from previous studies, which have suggested that neonates are at increased risk for VTE.19 The results of the present study could differ from those of prior analyses because of differences in the procedures and populations studied.
Regarding comorbidities, controlling for other factors, worse health status—as indicated by an ASA class >I—was significantly associated with VTE (compared with ASA class I, ASA class II OR=4.502, ASA class III OR=19.715, ASA class IV OR=71.170, ASA class V OR=154.953; p<0.001 for all). Consistent with this finding, compared with patients who did not develop a postoperative VTE, patients with VTE had a significantly higher incidence of all seven types of comorbidities studied. Considered together, the finding that higher ASA class is associated with a higher risk of VTE, and the observation that multiple comorbidities are more common among patients with VTE, suggests that pediatrics patients who are sicker are predisposed to postoperative VTE, with no single comorbidity driving this association. These findings aligned with previous work, which found that pediatric patients who developed VTE after surgery had at least one comorbid condition.5 This is also consistent with the finding that, among adult patients, those with a higher comorbidity burden are at higher risk for VTE.34–36
Surgical specialty was another factor independently associated with patients’ risk of VTE. Controlling for demographic and other operative factors, compared with general surgery (the specialty that treated the greatest number of patients in the study population), the present study found several surgical specialties to be independently associated with lower risk of VTE, including orthopedic surgery and plastic surgery (OR=0.496, p<0.001 and OR=0.141, p=0.001, respectively). The result of plastic surgery was consistent with adult literature.37 However, the result with orthopedic surgery was not expected and had not previously been reported.
Furthermore, neurosurgery, otolaryngology and urology were also found to have lower odds of VTE compared with general surgery. It is possible that this reflects a higher risk of VTE in the general surgical population rather than a reduction in risk conferred by other surgical specialties.
Patients undergoing cardiothoracic surgery, however, were found to be at higher risk of VTE when compared with patients receiving general surgery. This is consistent with previous literature in pediatric surgery, which finds higher rates of VTE after cardiothoracic procedures.38
Longer operative time was independently associated with VTE, while patients with VTE also had longer hospitalizations. An association between hospital length of stay and VTE risk in children had been reported previously,7 17 29 as with operative time.12 13 38 These findings are further corroborated in the literature around VTE in adults, where studies have found that longer operative times39 and longer hospital stays39 are associated with VTE.
Further relating to surgery, non-elective surgery was significantly associated with VTE. This finding is consistent with a study by Baker et al, which demonstrates a higher incidence of VTE in emergent surgery among pediatric patients undergoing orthopedic surgery.28 These findings are consistent with the adult literature, which identifies non-elective surgery as a risk factor for thromboembolic events.40
Two recent studies have reported similar overall analyses. Ahn et al similarly used NSQIP-P to evaluate preoperative and perioperative factors associated with VTE in children undergoing surgery.13 On multivariate analysis, the authors identify several risk factors for VTE: female sex, longer prehospital stay prior to surgery, current malignancy, preoperative mechanical ventilation, developmental delay, preoperative blood transfusion, preoperative infection and anesthesia time >2 hours. Additionally, age of 2–9 years and Hispanic ethnicity were found to be negatively associated with VTE. The only variable associated with VTE consistently identified on multivariate analysis between the present study and that by Ahn et al is longer operative time, although all types of comorbidities examined in the current study are more common among patients with VTE. There are two reasons that potentially account for these differences. They focused on comorbidities individually as opposed to grouped as ASA, and did not account for postoperative adverse events.
Similarly, Cairo et al identify risk factors for VTE in children undergoing abdominopelvic surgery.12 In multivariate analysis, the authors found associations between VTE and age >15 years, longer anesthesia time, preoperative renal failure, preoperative septic shock and ASA class >I. The present analysis similarly finds older age, longer operative time and ASA class >I to be associated with VTE.
Distinguishing the current study from these prior studies, to the authors’ knowledge, the present study is the only study to date to consider postoperative adverse events and their relationship to VTE. Neither the studies by Ahn et al nor Cairo et al perform similar analyses.
In addition to identifying demographics, comorbidities and operative factors associated with postoperative VTE, the present study sought to identify postoperative adverse events that predisposed patients to VTE. In logistic regression analyses controlling for demographics and operative variables, a majority of adverse events studied were associated with VTE. Of the eight surgical adverse events examined, six were significantly associated with a subsequent VTE: SSI (superficial, deep and organ/space), superficial wound dehiscence, bleeding requiring transfusion, and flap failure. Additionally, medical adverse events were associated with a higher risk of VTE. Furthermore, reoperation was significantly associated with a subsequent VTE. In the adult literature, postoperative pneumonia has been found to be associated with VTE.41 While not discernible from the dataset, it is likely that patients who sustain adverse events are less mobile after their complications, with stasis predisposing these patients to VTE.
Overall, the current study identified demographic, surgical and postoperative variables associated with the occurrence of VTE in children. Taken together, these findings suggest that children who are older, sicker (higher ASA class and comorbidity burden), who have longer, non-elective surgeries and who undergo general surgery or cardiothoracic surgery, are at higher risk of developing VTE. Furthermore, patients who develop any adverse event postoperatively, be it a surgical or medical complication, are at increased risk of an ensuing VTE.
The present study has several limitations. Foremost, the study faces the constraints of all retrospective analyses: namely, its limited ability to establish causal relationships between factors observed. Second, because NSQIP includes only the postoperative day on which an adverse event occurs, rather than the time, adverse events around a VTE can only be identified if they occur on different postoperative days from the VTE. This limitation somewhat blunted the study’s ability to establish temporal relationships between adverse events. Third, the database does not include equal numbers of surgeries across surgical disciplines. Fourth, patients were only followed for 30 postoperative days. Therefore, adverse events occurring outside of this period were not captured. Fifth, the present analysis is unable to identify which patients, if any, received chemoprophylaxis, or received postoperative anticoagulation. Sixth, there is not a universal screening protocol in place for VTE across the hospitals across the dataset. Therefore, interhospital variability in detection of VTE could affect the rate at which VTE was identified, likely leading to under-reporting.
With the above said, the current study clearly shows that certain pediatric subpopulations undergoing surgery are at elevated risks for VTE than the baseline postoperative VTE risk of 0.10%. The current study identified patient and surgery-related risk factors for postoperative VTE in children: older age, higher ASA class, non-elective surgery, general surgery and cardiothoracic surgery and longer operative time. Postoperatively, the study found that any adverse event, including medical and surgical adverse events, reoperation and readmission were associated with higher odds of an ensuing VTE.
Considering an illustrative example, according to the results of the current study, patients with ASA class III with at least one comorbidity who undergo non-elective surgery and experience a surgical postoperative adverse event would have a 19-fold higher incidence of VTE (overall incidence of 1.92%). These findings should clearly come into considerations when weighing the risks and benefits of VTE prophylaxis in pediatric postoperative patients.